March 16, 2012

2012 GT Football Outlook

Blogging today on Georgia Tech's new 2012 schedule outlook, win probability and starters (if season started today, I realize postition battles are still going on and certain positions are still very much up for grabs). These are just a few thoughts and projections on the new Yellow Jackets football season:

9/3 @ Virginia Tech Hokies [Win 39%] [Loss 61%]
Opening with a win against VA Tech in Lane Stadium, on National TV will be a tough task and immediate test for the Jackets. It can be done however, as the Hokies lost their first game in 3 consecutive years from 2008-2010 before bouncing back with an opening victory in 2011.
9/8 vs. Presbyterian Blue Hose [Win 99%] [Loss 1%]
This won't be an upset threat or trap game for Tech, expect a massacre if the Jackets lose in Blacksburg week 1.

9/15 vs. Virginia Cavaliers [Win 62%] [Loss 38%]
Virginia has had GT's number lately, handing Tech their first lost in 2011 after a 6-0 start, expect the odds to be in the home teams favor as they attempt to avenge last seasons loss to the Cavs.

9/22 vs. Miami Hurricanes [Win 52%] [Loss 48%]
Miami at home is a coin flip, both teams win in streaks vs each other- Miami won 3 straight 2009-2001, GT won 4 straight 2005-2008; should be a wire to wire, grind it out game for both teams- depending on whats on the line.

9/29 vs. MTSU Blue Raiders [Win 94%] [Loss 6%]
MTSU wasn't a challenge away in 2011, don't expect different results this go round.

10/6 @ Clemson Tigers [Win 48%] [Loss 52%]
Clemson is at home and due, but CPJ seems to have Dabo & Co's number- going 4-1 against the Tigers since becoming the Jackets HC in 2008. Don't think it would surprise anyone if Tech found a way to win again this year.

10/20 vs. Boston College Eagles [Win 61%] [Loss 39%]
The BC program is down, Tech should find a way to pick up a W vs. another conference opponent this week.

10/27 vs. BYU Cougars [Win 72%] [Loss 28%]
BYU could surprise Tech, but make no mistake the Jackets should be heavily favored entering this match-up.

11/03 @ Maryland Terrapins [Win 69%] [Loss 31%]
Maryland looks to rebuild after a disastrous 2011 season; the Terps will be a likely underdog, but don't expect an easy victory for Tech here.

11/10 @ North Carolina Tar Heels [Win 58%] [Loss 42%]
Going on the road against the dangerous & talented Tar Heels (pending the # of suspensions they have at this point) will be a battle, this match-up could go either way, expect GT to hold a slight edge.

11/17 vs. Duke Blue Devils [Win 79%] [Loss 21%]
It's Duke, one day they will probably win...not this year.

11/24 @ Georgia Bulldogs [Win 37%] [Loss 63%] 
It's a rivalry game, but make no mistake the boys from Athens have dominated this series physically & mentally. CPJ will be under fire to get a repeat victory in Athens as he did in 08. Tech will have to execute on offense, force a turnover or two and play almost flawless to end the streak in 2012 vs a physical & talented Dawgs team.

Projected Record: 9-3
Best Case: 11-1, Worst Case: 6-6

Here are the projected starters on offense and defense, a very Junior/Senior heavy class with a lot of experience (most of group has red-shirted at one point or another). Twitter handles on the far right... 
QB  Tevin Washington  RS-Senior
BB  David Sims  RS-Junior @D_Sims7
AB  Orwin Smith  Senior @BIG_O_17
AB  B.J. Bostic  Sophomore @Bosticboy_4
WR  Chris Jackson  RS-Senior @chris_jackson33
WR  DJ McKayhan  RS-Senior
OT  Morgan Bailey  RS-Sophomore @MOBAY72
OT  Ray Beno  RS-Junior @SweetBabyRay64
OG  Omoregie Uzzi  RS-Senior @Uzzi_LaFlare
OG  Will Jackson  RS-Junior @WillJackson52
Jay Finch  RS-Junior @inyoface50
DE  Emmanuel Dieke  RS-Junior
DE  Izaan Cross  Senior @Boss_Cross94
DT  T.J. Barnes  RS-Senior @ILLUMANINTY
LB  Jeremiah Attaochu  Junior @JAttaochu45
LB  Brandon Watts  RS-Junior @1on1wattsisland
LB  Quayshawn Nealy  Sophomore @Q_nealy54
LB  Julian Burnett  Senior @W4oDaNeighbors
CB  Louis Young  Junior @LYoungSwagg8
CB  Rod Sweeting  Senior @Rsweeting_6
Isaiah Johnson  Junior
Jemea Thomas  RS-Junior @GT_mea14